"Scientific research" Almanac

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  RISK ASSESSMENT TOOLS FOR INVESTMENT SELECTION – THEORY AND PRACTICE

  The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta ... The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta coeffi-cient values of leading Bulgarian public companies included in the SOFIX index. The paper is structured in four main parts according to its subject matter, goal and objec-tives. The first part reviews the current objectives and the theoretical grounds of in-vestment management. The second part focuses on the possibilities to include risk into the investment analysis. The third part analyzes the methodological framework for in-vestment selection. The fourth part presents an empirical study of the beta coefficients of the SOFIX companies for the period 2007-2012, identifies trends and proposes cor-porate grouping according to their capacity to restore market capitalization to the pre-crisis levels. The results show that two of the leading Bulgarian companies (i.e. 13.3% of the total number of companies in the index) have betas exceeding 1.25 (based on monthly data for the period Sept. 2007 - Sept. 2012), seven companies (46.7% of the index) have beta coefficients between 0.75 and 1.25 and six companies (40% of the index) have conservative betas of less than 0.75.

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  CAPITAL MARKETS IN EUROPE – INTEGRATION AS AN ANTI-CRISIS MEASURE

  The leading thesis in this paper is the concept that the development of a unified institutionalized European capital market is a necessity and a mandatory condition for the successful implementation of the EU economic policy, which, however, has not been recognized as a priority by the governing institutions of the Economic Union. Using empirical ... The leading thesis in this paper is the concept that the development of a unified institutionalized European capital market is a necessity and a mandatory condition for the successful implementation of the EU economic policy, which, however, has not been recognized as a priority by the governing institutions of the Economic Union. Using empirical research we prove that the average correlation of the indices of capital mar¬kets within the Euronext system is a bit higher and much more stable than the correla¬tion of the chosen five stock exchanges which are not in the Euronext system. That allows for a conclusion to be made that the degree of capital market integration is higher within the Euronext system than outside it, which may be used as a powerful anti-crisis instrument.

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  RESEARCHING VARIATIONS IN THE MARKET TREND BY USING INDICATORS FOR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

  Technical analysis is one of the two approaches used for investment analysis of financial markets. It comprises diverse graphical and quantitative tools, which are applied in researching the price deviation of financial instruments. This research paper focuses on the indicators that are applied to forecast short-term price variations of financial ... Technical analysis is one of the two approaches used for investment analysis of financial markets. It comprises diverse graphical and quantitative tools, which are applied in researching the price deviation of financial instruments. This research paper focuses on the indicators that are applied to forecast short-term price variations of financial instruments.