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APPLICABLE ASPECTS OF ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF DYNAMIC RELATIONS
The paper is focused on the application of the statistical methods for the analysis of dynamic relationships. The relationships among the economic phenomena are realized not only in the distributions of the population, (static aspect) but also in the changes that have occurred into it with the time (dynamic aspect).
The thesis supported by the ...
The paper is focused on the application of the statistical methods for the analysis of dynamic relationships. The relationships among the economic phenomena are realized not only in the distributions of the population, (static aspect) but also in the changes that have occurred into it with the time (dynamic aspect).
The thesis supported by the authors is that statistical methods used for the analysis of dynamic relationships are both modern and powerful instruments for the researchers that allow to discover new characteristics of the interdependence among economic phenomenon but at the same time, their application is accompanied with many conditions that have to be known and taken into account.
The goal of the paper is to systematize the statistical methods for analysis of relationships based on time series data, and to point out their abilities in the advancement and enhancement of the analysis of the economic phenomenon. In order to achieve this goal, we have solved the following tasks: a) to describe the cross-correlation analysis; b) to characterize the distributed lag models (aka transfer function models); c) to study the vector auto regression (VAR) models; d) to describe the cointegration as advanced statistical method for the analysis of non-stationary time series.
The established results cover the advanced features of the dynamic relationship models: the interdependence between two (or more) time series; exploration of single relationships and distributed influence; the representation of multidimensional dynamic relationship; the survey of both long-term equilibrium relation and short-term interaction between the variables induced by the deviations from equilibrium state.
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INFLUENCE OF THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK
IN DETERMINING THE REQUIRED AMOUNT
OF TECHNICAL RESERVES FOR MOTOR THIRD PARTY LIABILITY INSURANCE
The problems arising from the recent global financial and economic crisis have led to a rethinking of many texts both in local laws and at Community level. New rules and regulations have gradually been introduced concerning all economic agents operating within the European Union. The introduction of these regulations in the field of insurance is ...
The problems arising from the recent global financial and economic crisis have led to a rethinking of many texts both in local laws and at Community level. New rules and regulations have gradually been introduced concerning all economic agents operating within the European Union. The introduction of these regulations in the field of insurance is associated with the adoption of Solvency II Directive. The implementation of the Directive in the Bulgarian legislation was realized with the adoption of a new Insurance Code, effective as of 1 January 2016 and Financial Supervision Commission’s Ordinance No 53 of 19 January 2017, which determines the order and method of allocation of technical reserves by the insurers working on the Bulgarian insurance market.
The study assesses the impact of the regulatory framework on the technical reserves of insurance companies offering Motor Third Party Liability Insurance. It outlines the problems that insurers have to deal with and the effect that the methods, used for calculating the required amount of technical reserves, have on the insurance company’s balance sheet.
The study has shown that there are differences in the methodologies described in the Solvency II Directive and Ordinance No 53 of Financial Supervision Commission. They concern the valuation of insurance companies’ assets and liabilities, the recognition of cash flows and the treatment of insurance income and expenses. Therefore, legislative changes are needed to synchronize the requirements of Bulgarian legislation with the European Directive Solvency II, with a view to optimizing the amount of technical reserves for Motor Third Party Liability Insurance.
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APPLICATION OF THE EUROPEAN FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS WITH THIRD COUNTRIES
AND THEIR IMPORTANCE FOR THE POSITION
OF CUSTOMS CONTROL IN BULGARIA
Goods origin should be regarded as a complex economic category, which, from a customs perspective, predetermines the existence of specific control guidelines. The variety of free trade agreements between the EU and third countries introduces a number of requirements, the compliance of which must be verified by the customs authorities. This ...
Goods origin should be regarded as a complex economic category, which, from a customs perspective, predetermines the existence of specific control guidelines. The variety of free trade agreements between the EU and third countries introduces a number of requirements, the compliance of which must be verified by the customs authorities. This necessitates the availability of clear technological provisions regarding the issue of proofs of origin by the Union and the verification of such proofs provided by beneficiary countries.
The study aims to assess the feasibility of the free trade agreements between the EU and third countries in our country and thus define and justify the specific characteristics of the customs procedures with regard to the origin of imported goods. This aim has been achieved through:
First. Assessment of the free trade agreements between the EU and third countries in terms of their importance;
Second. Assessment of the relevance of the European free trade agreements for the Republic of Bulgaria;
Third. Discussing the specific characteristics of the main customs procedures for control of the origin of the goods.
The main research thesis is that the provisions of free trade agreements and the related origin of imported goods are the main subject of customs control and, as being such, they have a significant impact on the foreign trade relations of our country.
As a result of the study, the importance of EU free trade agreements with third countries has been justified by the position of the customs control carried out in the Republic of Bulgaria. The foreign trade relations of our country have been analyzed and conclusions have been drawn as to the extent to which the Bulgarian business benefits from the possible customs preferences based on the origin of the goods.
