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RELATIONS BETWEEN GOVERNMENT DEBT
AND INVESTMENT ACTIVITY,
A PARALLEL ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESSES
IN BULGARIA AND GREECE
The present study aims at a parallel analysis of investment, and in particular stock exchange activity and government debt, as well as finding a dependency between the dynamics of these processes and highlighting those stock indicators, for which the relationship with the debt dynamics is of greater significance. The study is based on the thesis ...
The present study aims at a parallel analysis of investment, and in particular stock exchange activity and government debt, as well as finding a dependency between the dynamics of these processes and highlighting those stock indicators, for which the relationship with the debt dynamics is of greater significance. The study is based on the thesis of presence of a strong influence with inverse dependence of the debt burden on the investment activity. We also maintain the hypothesis that the sensitivity of capital markets to the dynamics of government debt is stronger than that of the real-sector investments, driven by the nature of indirect investments and the rapid transfer of capital through liquid stock markets. As a theoretical basis of the survey we have set up a systemic methodology for government debt management and highlighted dependencies on key macroeconomic factors. The methodology of the survey includes a selection of the main measures for the structure and burden of government debt and specific indicators, and indicators for analyzing the investment activity. In order to investigate the dependencies between the two processes, we apply specific comparisons between debt and investment indicators, as well as correlation analysis. We analyze in parallel the debt dynamics and the investment activity in the real sector and the stock exchanges in Bulgaria and Greece for the period 2007- 2017. The results show that the activity of both stock exchanges have had a pronounced negative trend since the beginning of the global recession, which has been going on for ten years now. We have established a strong reverse relationship between the Athens Stock Exchange activity indicators and the Greek debt in its structural components. As far as Bulgarian capital market is concerned, these dependencies are less expressed. We have found arguments for a critical negative impact of the debt burden on investment activity in the real sector, expressed by the correlation between debt dynamics and direct investments in the national economy and foreign direct investments. Our hypothesis for a stronger impact of the debt burden on stock exchange transactions than on real sector investments has been confirmed.
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INFLUENCE OF THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK
IN DETERMINING THE REQUIRED AMOUNT
OF TECHNICAL RESERVES FOR MOTOR THIRD PARTY LIABILITY INSURANCE
The problems arising from the recent global financial and economic crisis have led to a rethinking of many texts both in local laws and at Community level. New rules and regulations have gradually been introduced concerning all economic agents operating within the European Union. The introduction of these regulations in the field of insurance is ...
The problems arising from the recent global financial and economic crisis have led to a rethinking of many texts both in local laws and at Community level. New rules and regulations have gradually been introduced concerning all economic agents operating within the European Union. The introduction of these regulations in the field of insurance is associated with the adoption of Solvency II Directive. The implementation of the Directive in the Bulgarian legislation was realized with the adoption of a new Insurance Code, effective as of 1 January 2016 and Financial Supervision Commission’s Ordinance No 53 of 19 January 2017, which determines the order and method of allocation of technical reserves by the insurers working on the Bulgarian insurance market.
The study assesses the impact of the regulatory framework on the technical reserves of insurance companies offering Motor Third Party Liability Insurance. It outlines the problems that insurers have to deal with and the effect that the methods, used for calculating the required amount of technical reserves, have on the insurance company’s balance sheet.
The study has shown that there are differences in the methodologies described in the Solvency II Directive and Ordinance No 53 of Financial Supervision Commission. They concern the valuation of insurance companies’ assets and liabilities, the recognition of cash flows and the treatment of insurance income and expenses. Therefore, legislative changes are needed to synchronize the requirements of Bulgarian legislation with the European Directive Solvency II, with a view to optimizing the amount of technical reserves for Motor Third Party Liability Insurance.
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APPLICATION OF THE EUROPEAN FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS WITH THIRD COUNTRIES
AND THEIR IMPORTANCE FOR THE POSITION
OF CUSTOMS CONTROL IN BULGARIA
Goods origin should be regarded as a complex economic category, which, from a customs perspective, predetermines the existence of specific control guidelines. The variety of free trade agreements between the EU and third countries introduces a number of requirements, the compliance of which must be verified by the customs authorities. This ...
Goods origin should be regarded as a complex economic category, which, from a customs perspective, predetermines the existence of specific control guidelines. The variety of free trade agreements between the EU and third countries introduces a number of requirements, the compliance of which must be verified by the customs authorities. This necessitates the availability of clear technological provisions regarding the issue of proofs of origin by the Union and the verification of such proofs provided by beneficiary countries.
The study aims to assess the feasibility of the free trade agreements between the EU and third countries in our country and thus define and justify the specific characteristics of the customs procedures with regard to the origin of imported goods. This aim has been achieved through:
First. Assessment of the free trade agreements between the EU and third countries in terms of their importance;
Second. Assessment of the relevance of the European free trade agreements for the Republic of Bulgaria;
Third. Discussing the specific characteristics of the main customs procedures for control of the origin of the goods.
The main research thesis is that the provisions of free trade agreements and the related origin of imported goods are the main subject of customs control and, as being such, they have a significant impact on the foreign trade relations of our country.
As a result of the study, the importance of EU free trade agreements with third countries has been justified by the position of the customs control carried out in the Republic of Bulgaria. The foreign trade relations of our country have been analyzed and conclusions have been drawn as to the extent to which the Bulgarian business benefits from the possible customs preferences based on the origin of the goods.
