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APPLICABLE ASPECTS OF ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF DYNAMIC RELATIONS
The paper is focused on the application of the statistical methods for the analysis of dynamic relationships. The relationships among the economic phenomena are realized not only in the distributions of the population, (static aspect) but also in the changes that have occurred into it with the time (dynamic aspect).
The thesis supported by the ...
The paper is focused on the application of the statistical methods for the analysis of dynamic relationships. The relationships among the economic phenomena are realized not only in the distributions of the population, (static aspect) but also in the changes that have occurred into it with the time (dynamic aspect).
The thesis supported by the authors is that statistical methods used for the analysis of dynamic relationships are both modern and powerful instruments for the researchers that allow to discover new characteristics of the interdependence among economic phenomenon but at the same time, their application is accompanied with many conditions that have to be known and taken into account.
The goal of the paper is to systematize the statistical methods for analysis of relationships based on time series data, and to point out their abilities in the advancement and enhancement of the analysis of the economic phenomenon. In order to achieve this goal, we have solved the following tasks: a) to describe the cross-correlation analysis; b) to characterize the distributed lag models (aka transfer function models); c) to study the vector auto regression (VAR) models; d) to describe the cointegration as advanced statistical method for the analysis of non-stationary time series.
The established results cover the advanced features of the dynamic relationship models: the interdependence between two (or more) time series; exploration of single relationships and distributed influence; the representation of multidimensional dynamic relationship; the survey of both long-term equilibrium relation and short-term interaction between the variables induced by the deviations from equilibrium state.
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POSSIBILITIES FOR APPLICATION OF PENSION INSURANCE ORGANISATION OF TEACHERS
IN BULGARIA
An attempt has been made to justify the thesis that the organisational development and improvement of the applied differentiated approach has a significant capacity to turn the pension insurance into a socio-economic corrective of the market evaluation of teachers’ labour by providing pensions in the amount appropriate to the contribution and ...
An attempt has been made to justify the thesis that the organisational development and improvement of the applied differentiated approach has a significant capacity to turn the pension insurance into a socio-economic corrective of the market evaluation of teachers’ labour by providing pensions in the amount appropriate to the contribution and significance of the teaching profession for the formation of human capital and socio-economic development and prosperity in Bulgarian society. The study of the opportunities for organisational development and improvement of the teachers’ public pension insurance is the main objective of the survey. The following specific tasks are set: study of principles and guidelines for differentiation of insurance activity; justification of the need for continuing development and improvement of the applied differentiated approach in the organisation of the pension insurance of teachers in Bulgaria; study of the specifics and evaluation of public pension insurance protection of teachers in Bulgaria; formulating proposals for development and improvement of public insurance of teachers in Bulgaria. The results of the survey show the need to develop and improve the pension insurance of teachers. Proposals to transform payments from the Teachers’ Pension Fund into a function of pension insurance contributions have been formulated. Organisational changes that bind the amount of pension for insured length of service and old age of teachers with their contribution to community development have been proposed.
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OPPORTUNITIES FOR DIRECT INVESTMENT
IN THE INFORMATION ECONOMY
As early as the second half of the twentieth century, it was already clear to all the scholars and researchers of the society and its inherent economy that the industrial economy was on the wane, and its place was gradually occupied by a new, post-industrial (information) economy.
The aim of the present paper is to highlight some aspects of the ...
As early as the second half of the twentieth century, it was already clear to all the scholars and researchers of the society and its inherent economy that the industrial economy was on the wane, and its place was gradually occupied by a new, post-industrial (information) economy.
The aim of the present paper is to highlight some aspects of the nature and characteristics of the information economy as à necessary intrinsic part of the information society and to identify the strategic and particular conditions for business investment in this new environment.
The problems to be solved in relation to the stated objective of the research are: to characterize the emerging information economy and its peculiarities; to outline the branch orientation of the foreign direct investments in the information economy; to highlight the motives that have the most significant impact on investment decisions in the post-industrial economy; to provide guidelines for adapting economic policy in line with the new realities.
The research thesis is that: the information economy changes the conditions for conducting business and also the behavior of enterprises, particularly transnational corporations, which necessitates the adaptation of the economic policy to the new realities.
The main results of the research can be summarized as follows: The theoretical foundations of the information society and economy have been clarified; The motives for direct foreign investment have been analyzed and the factors that are of major significance for FDI in the new conditions have been derived. On this basis, the relationship between the information economy and the opportunities for direct investment has been assessed; An analysis of FDI in the service sector has been made, with special attention paid to greenfield investments and mergers and acquisitions; Recommendations have been made to the economic policy so that it can be adapted to the new business and economic environment.
