BALANCE SHEET ITEMS OF THE BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF EU MEMBERSHIP
Authors
Keywords
BNB, balance sheet items, convergence.
Summary
The research area of the survey is the balance sheet positions of the BNB, and the subject - the convergent aspects of the BNB balance sheet items for the period 01.2006 to 03.2018. The purpose of the survey is to identify the specifics, under the currency board conditions, as well as the dynamics, trend and risk parameters of the BNB balance sheet items, focusing on the currency risk of USD-denominated balance sheet positions and the correlation of these positions with the GDP of Bulgaria. A special focus is placed on currency risk in USD-denominated balance sheet items. The thesis tests the existence of a direct link between dynamics in the BNB balance sheet positions and the growth of GDP, taking into account force majeure factors. The paper has the following tasks: first, study the philosophy and the regulatory framework for the structure of the balance sheet items of the BNB; study trends and dynamics of the balance sheet positions of the BNB for the period 2006-2018; thirdly, the study of the currency risk system and its effect on the balance sheet positions of the BNB; the study of the correlation relations and the influence of the passives on the active positions in the balance sheet of the BNB. Analytical results confirm leadership "risk" status for the item "Cash and cash equivalents ..." (by 61.7% of the variation) in the asset and under "Liabilities to other depositors" the liability (61.7% variation). The final correlation analysis of the relationship between dynamics in capital and liabilities positions and their impact on asset positions places a leading role as a factor of position „Total Liabilities“. The impact of its dynamics is the strongest on „Investments in securities” with a positive correlation from +0.76 and determination coefficient equal to 57.9%.
Pages: 28
Price: 3 Points
