"Scientific research" Almanac

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  RELATIONS BETWEEN GOVERNMENT DEBT AND INVESTMENT ACTIVITY, A PARALLEL ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESSES IN BULGARIA AND GREECE

  The present study aims at a parallel analysis of investment, and in particular stock exchange activity and government debt, as well as finding a dependency between the dynamics of these processes and highlighting those stock indicators, for which the relationship with the debt dynamics is of greater significance. The study is based on the thesis ... The present study aims at a parallel analysis of investment, and in particular stock exchange activity and government debt, as well as finding a dependency between the dynamics of these processes and highlighting those stock indicators, for which the relationship with the debt dynamics is of greater significance. The study is based on the thesis of presence of a strong influence with inverse dependence of the debt burden on the investment activity. We also maintain the hypothesis that the sensitivity of capital markets to the dynamics of government debt is stronger than that of the real-sector investments, driven by the nature of indirect investments and the rapid transfer of capital through liquid stock markets. As a theoretical basis of the survey we have set up a systemic methodology for government debt management and highlighted dependencies on key macroeconomic factors. The methodology of the survey includes a selection of the main measures for the structure and burden of government debt and specific indicators, and indicators for analyzing the investment activity. In order to investigate the dependencies between the two processes, we apply specific comparisons between debt and investment indicators, as well as correlation analysis. We analyze in parallel the debt dynamics and the investment activity in the real sector and the stock exchanges in Bulgaria and Greece for the period 2007- 2017. The results show that the activity of both stock exchanges have had a pronounced negative trend since the beginning of the global recession, which has been going on for ten years now. We have established a strong reverse relationship between the Athens Stock Exchange activity indicators and the Greek debt in its structural components. As far as Bulgarian capital market is concerned, these dependencies are less expressed. We have found arguments for a critical negative impact of the debt burden on investment activity in the real sector, expressed by the correlation between debt dynamics and direct investments in the national economy and foreign direct investments. Our hypothesis for a stronger impact of the debt burden on stock exchange transactions than on real sector investments has been confirmed.

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  INFLUENCE OF THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK IN DETERMINING THE REQUIRED AMOUNT OF TECHNICAL RESERVES FOR MOTOR THIRD PARTY LIABILITY INSURANCE

  The problems arising from the recent global financial and economic crisis have led to a rethinking of many texts both in local laws and at Community level. New rules and regulations have gradually been introduced concerning all economic agents operating within the European Union. The introduction of these regulations in the field of insurance is ... The problems arising from the recent global financial and economic crisis have led to a rethinking of many texts both in local laws and at Community level. New rules and regulations have gradually been introduced concerning all economic agents operating within the European Union. The introduction of these regulations in the field of insurance is associated with the adoption of Solvency II Directive. The implementation of the Directive in the Bulgarian legislation was realized with the adoption of a new Insurance Code, effective as of 1 January 2016 and Financial Supervision Commission’s Ordinance No 53 of 19 January 2017, which determines the order and method of allocation of technical reserves by the insurers working on the Bulgarian insurance market. The study assesses the impact of the regulatory framework on the technical reserves of insurance companies offering Motor Third Party Liability Insurance. It outlines the problems that insurers have to deal with and the effect that the methods, used for calculating the required amount of technical reserves, have on the insurance company’s balance sheet. The study has shown that there are differences in the methodologies described in the Solvency II Directive and Ordinance No 53 of Financial Supervision Commission. They concern the valuation of insurance companies’ assets and liabilities, the recognition of cash flows and the treatment of insurance income and expenses. Therefore, legislative changes are needed to synchronize the requirements of Bulgarian legislation with the European Directive Solvency II, with a view to optimizing the amount of technical reserves for Motor Third Party Liability Insurance.

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  PAYMENTS FOR PROPHYLAXIS AND REHABILITATION AS A FORM OF RISK PREVENTION IN THE PUBLIC SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM OF BULGARIA

  An attempt has been made to substantiate the thesis that the organisational development and improvement of prophylaxis and rehabilitation payments have significant capacity to promote prevention and overcome the consequences of risk as a form of proactive approach to the public social security management. The study of the opportunities for ... An attempt has been made to substantiate the thesis that the organisational development and improvement of prophylaxis and rehabilitation payments have significant capacity to promote prevention and overcome the consequences of risk as a form of proactive approach to the public social security management. The study of the opportunities for organisational development and improvement of the payments for prophylaxis and rehabilitation is the main objective of the study. The following specific tasks are set: study of the principles and limitations of the prevention of risk in the social insurance activity; justification of the need for continuing integration and development of prophylaxis and rehabilitation as an element of the Bulgarian social security system; study of the specificity of morbidity and traumatism among insured persons; evaluation of payments for prophylaxis and rehabilitation and formulation of proposals for their organisational development and improvement. The results of the survey confirm the necessity to make payments with a preventive and long-term effect, testify to the achievement of good organisational level of prophylaxis and rehabilitation in the NSSI system and outline the opportunities for their development and improvement. Organisational changes with significant capacity for continued successful integration of prevention and overcoming the consequences of risk as a form of proactive approach to the public social security management in Bulgaria have been proposed.