"Scientific research" Almanac

More titles

• 

  RESEARCH OF THE FACTORS INFLUENCING ON WINE PRODUCTION IN THE NORTH CENTRAL, SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST REGIONS

  The present study is provoked by the idea of revealing the influence of the factors of both the internal environment of wine-producing enterprise and the factors of the external macro environment. The subject of study are the factors influencing the activity of wine producers located in the North Central, South Central and Southeast planning ... The present study is provoked by the idea of revealing the influence of the factors of both the internal environment of wine-producing enterprise and the factors of the external macro environment. The subject of study are the factors influencing the activity of wine producers located in the North Central, South Central and Southeast planning regions. The object of study are the economic entities on the market that produce and offer wine from the subsector “Wine Production” in three geographical regions of Bulgaria - North Central, South Central and Southeast. The aim of the research is, as a result of theoretical and practical research, to establish the influence of various factors, grouped in a certain way, on the development of wine production in the North Central, South Central and Southeast regions. The study attempted to combine the two approaches and as a result of the information, a cluster analysis was performed to classify enterprises on the basis of five selected objective indicators - net working capital, income / expense ratio, turnover ratio of non-current assets, turnover ratio, current assets and rate of return on sales revenue. As a result, a difference in geographical location was reported only for enterprises in the South-East region. The factor analysis was conducted on the basis of the subjective perceptions of the respondents about the economic condition of their enterprise and the factors belonging to the macro environment. As a result, recommendations are made for improving the business environment and the relationships among the individual contractors at the appropriate level - company, region, country.

• 

  MODELING PROBABILISTIC CHOICES WHEN BUYING

  This study systematizes the theoretical foundations of mathematical modeling of consumer behavior in the choice process in the context of random utility theory. The main attention is paid to some aspects of econometric estimation of discrete choice models. The main thesis is that based on the theory of random utility, you can create tools for ... This study systematizes the theoretical foundations of mathematical modeling of consumer behavior in the choice process in the context of random utility theory. The main attention is paid to some aspects of econometric estimation of discrete choice models. The main thesis is that based on the theory of random utility, you can create tools for predictive analytics of demand. The aim of the study is to develop a transpar-ent and traceable analytical methodology for analyzing empirical data from stated preferences, providing opportunities for evaluating, analyzing and predicting consumer choice. To achieve this goal, a brief synopsis of the discrete choice theory was made, as well as a review of methods for evaluating and analyzing traditional econometric mod-els with discrete dependent variables. Particular attention is drawn to the problems in specifying adequate binary and multinomial regression models, which are the core of analytical tools, and whose evaluation and verification is feasible with the help of open source software. Systematizing achievements in the field, recommendations are given for using predictive models for solving marketing problems. Methods for predictive analytics of consumer choice are proposed, including output of aggregated forecast estimates, building of market simulators for predictive modeling of market share, as-sessment of willingness-to-pay and price elasticity at the level of product alternatives.

• 

  STRATEGIC PLANNING OF SOCIAL SERVICES - CONDITIONS AND PROSPECTS

  The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of regional strategies for the development of social services and to outline the main characteristics of their condition and prospects for development. The objects of study are the regional strategies for the development of social services in Bulgaria in the period 2016-2020. The subject of the ... The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of regional strategies for the development of social services and to outline the main characteristics of their condition and prospects for development. The objects of study are the regional strategies for the development of social services in Bulgaria in the period 2016-2020. The subject of the study is the quality of the¬se strategies, in order to provide an opportunity for proactive policy in the social sector. Closely related to the defined goal are the research tasks, which are derived from the main research thesis, namely that the approach applied so far for strategic planning of social policies at the district level is characterized by significant weaknesses. They derive both from the regulatory and strategic framework and from the institutional organization and powers in terms of its formulation, implementation, monitoring, reporting, communication and updating. The applied research methods are standard for scientific research and include: content and GAP analysis of documents, benchmarking, critical analysis, method of analysis and synthesis, multicriteria evaluation by defined checklist, analysis of structures and temporal groupings. Induction and deduction have been used in formulating perspectives for the process of formulating social policies. Among the most important conclusions is the need to overcome the existing weaknesses in terms of the organization and institutionalization of the processes of providing social services and the creation of a working mechanism for their quality planning in dynamics.