"Scientific research" Almanac

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  TRENDS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF PROFITABILITY AND RISK PROFILE OF THE BANKING SECTOR IN OUR COUNTRY

  This paper discusses the impact of the financial crisis on the profitability and risk profile of the banking sector in our country. The problem is studied at two levels – at a macroeconomic level (the banking system as a whole) and at a microeconomic level (particular banks). An indicator is derived for a complex binding of profit and risk ... This paper discusses the impact of the financial crisis on the profitability and risk profile of the banking sector in our country. The problem is studied at two levels – at a macroeconomic level (the banking system as a whole) and at a microeconomic level (particular banks). An indicator is derived for a complex binding of profit and risk (risk-weighted profitability), its dynamics is traced and the factors that influence it are outlined.

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  RISK ASSESSMENT TOOLS FOR INVESTMENT SELECTION – THEORY AND PRACTICE

  The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta ... The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta coeffi-cient values of leading Bulgarian public companies included in the SOFIX index. The paper is structured in four main parts according to its subject matter, goal and objec-tives. The first part reviews the current objectives and the theoretical grounds of in-vestment management. The second part focuses on the possibilities to include risk into the investment analysis. The third part analyzes the methodological framework for in-vestment selection. The fourth part presents an empirical study of the beta coefficients of the SOFIX companies for the period 2007-2012, identifies trends and proposes cor-porate grouping according to their capacity to restore market capitalization to the pre-crisis levels. The results show that two of the leading Bulgarian companies (i.e. 13.3% of the total number of companies in the index) have betas exceeding 1.25 (based on monthly data for the period Sept. 2007 - Sept. 2012), seven companies (46.7% of the index) have beta coefficients between 0.75 and 1.25 and six companies (40% of the index) have conservative betas of less than 0.75.

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  STRESS TESTING ISSUES IN THE MODERN BANKS WORK

  The present article provides critical analysis of the existing practice for carrying out of stress-test in the banking sector in our country and abroad. It provides good grounds for accentuating on a number of unsolved or discussion issues, concerning: significance of the stress-tests; scope and periodicity of their implementation; identification ... The present article provides critical analysis of the existing practice for carrying out of stress-test in the banking sector in our country and abroad. It provides good grounds for accentuating on a number of unsolved or discussion issues, concerning: significance of the stress-tests; scope and periodicity of their implementation; identification of the specific risks, with potential negative effects; scenario modelling with specifying key risk parameters (factors), subject of shocking changes; performance of comparative analysis of the methods for implementing stress-tests and outlining of their advantages and disadvantages; specifics of implementation of the so-called „reverse” stress-tests, etc.