"Scientific research" Almanac

More titles

• 

  RISK ASSESSMENT TOOLS FOR INVESTMENT SELECTION – THEORY AND PRACTICE

  The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta ... The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta coeffi-cient values of leading Bulgarian public companies included in the SOFIX index. The paper is structured in four main parts according to its subject matter, goal and objec-tives. The first part reviews the current objectives and the theoretical grounds of in-vestment management. The second part focuses on the possibilities to include risk into the investment analysis. The third part analyzes the methodological framework for in-vestment selection. The fourth part presents an empirical study of the beta coefficients of the SOFIX companies for the period 2007-2012, identifies trends and proposes cor-porate grouping according to their capacity to restore market capitalization to the pre-crisis levels. The results show that two of the leading Bulgarian companies (i.e. 13.3% of the total number of companies in the index) have betas exceeding 1.25 (based on monthly data for the period Sept. 2007 - Sept. 2012), seven companies (46.7% of the index) have beta coefficients between 0.75 and 1.25 and six companies (40% of the index) have conservative betas of less than 0.75.

• 

  ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TIMES OF CRISIS – MYTH OR REALITY IN THE BSEC COUNTRIES

  The paper presents a study of the economic development of the countries from the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) block as an opportunity to assess the rate and pace of their economic development and the opportunities for Bulgaria, Romania and Greece (the EU member-states in BSEC) to develop their growth potential. Especially important (in ... The paper presents a study of the economic development of the countries from the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) block as an opportunity to assess the rate and pace of their economic development and the opportunities for Bulgaria, Romania and Greece (the EU member-states in BSEC) to develop their growth potential. Especially important (in times of global financial and economic crisis) is the relation be¬tween the GDP and the ability of free foreign trade economies to establish growth factors. The study focuses on the economic potential within the BSEC in terms of the main trends and growth factors in the BSEC economies. The aim of this study is to provide a critical analysis of the economic development trends of the BSEC countries in terms of identification of key factors supporting economic growth in the 21st century. The study is structured in two parts. The first part presents a comparative monitoring analysis of the trends in the key macroeconomic indicators for the period 2003-2010 in the BSEC countries. The second part presents growth rate models of the BSEC countries in terms of the level of openness of their economies and the dynamics of their export and import flows.

• 

  ESTABLISHMENT OF THE BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK AS A CENTRAL BANK

  The establishment of the central bank and banking system in our country began in the late XIX century, after the liberation from Ottoman rule. In its 120-year-old history Bulgarian banking has experienced many ups and downs to reach its current state. This study will focus on the establishment and recognition of the Bulgarian National Bank as a ... The establishment of the central bank and banking system in our country began in the late XIX century, after the liberation from Ottoman rule. In its 120-year-old history Bulgarian banking has experienced many ups and downs to reach its current state. This study will focus on the establishment and recognition of the Bulgarian National Bank as a central and issuing bank.