"Scientific research" Almanac

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  ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TIMES OF CRISIS – MYTH OR REALITY IN THE BSEC COUNTRIES

  The paper presents a study of the economic development of the countries from the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) block as an opportunity to assess the rate and pace of their economic development and the opportunities for Bulgaria, Romania and Greece (the EU member-states in BSEC) to develop their growth potential. Especially important (in ... The paper presents a study of the economic development of the countries from the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) block as an opportunity to assess the rate and pace of their economic development and the opportunities for Bulgaria, Romania and Greece (the EU member-states in BSEC) to develop their growth potential. Especially important (in times of global financial and economic crisis) is the relation be¬tween the GDP and the ability of free foreign trade economies to establish growth factors. The study focuses on the economic potential within the BSEC in terms of the main trends and growth factors in the BSEC economies. The aim of this study is to provide a critical analysis of the economic development trends of the BSEC countries in terms of identification of key factors supporting economic growth in the 21st century. The study is structured in two parts. The first part presents a comparative monitoring analysis of the trends in the key macroeconomic indicators for the period 2003-2010 in the BSEC countries. The second part presents growth rate models of the BSEC countries in terms of the level of openness of their economies and the dynamics of their export and import flows.

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  OFFSHORE ZONES – PLACES FOR IMPLEMENTING CRIMINAL INITIATIVES OR ECONOMICALLY JUSTIFIED INVESTMENTS

  An intensive dispute about the role of the offshore zones in modern global economy is taking place among researchers, politicians and financial specialists. What are the reasons for investors to transfer their savings to such offshore zones – are they motivated by economic reasons or are they just realizing their criminal intentions using the ... An intensive dispute about the role of the offshore zones in modern global economy is taking place among researchers, politicians and financial specialists. What are the reasons for investors to transfer their savings to such offshore zones – are they motivated by economic reasons or are they just realizing their criminal intentions using the offshore status? According to Zhixiang Sun investors will transfer their savings to offshore zones until the ratio between return in the home country towards return in the offshore zone is higher than the ratio between unity minus the tax rate in the home country and unity minus the tax rate in the offshore zone. In our research we calculate these ratios for a US investor towards a possible transfer to 9 Caribbean offshore zones. For all cases we find that there are strong economic reasons for investors to transfer their savings to offshore zones. The same conclusions refer to Bulgarian investors, too. It is only for Panama that we did not find economic reasons.

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  REAL OPTIONS – THE NEW PARADIGM IN INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING

  Financial theory has long tried to impose discounted cash flows techniques as a revolutionary approach in evaluating investment alternatives, offering a more accurate and complete idea of the potential in creating a value replacing the „Payback period” that has long been used in capital budgeting. Discounting of cash flows had been the main and ... Financial theory has long tried to impose discounted cash flows techniques as a revolutionary approach in evaluating investment alternatives, offering a more accurate and complete idea of the potential in creating a value replacing the „Payback period” that has long been used in capital budgeting. Discounting of cash flows had been the main and indisputable paradigm in making investment decisions prior to the emergence of a real options analysis (ROA) - an application of the theory of financial options in capital budgeting. Real options enhance valuation by embedding flexibility in capital budgeting procedures – the ability of firms to react adequately to favorable or adverse changes in the economic environment, competition or markets. Real options analysis is the perfect approach in evaluating long-term investments and it will not be long before it replaces completely the traditional tools in capital budgeting.