MEASURING POVERTY IN BULGARIA: STATISTICAL ASPECTS

Authors

Keywords
poverty and social exclusion, statistical information, indicators, statistical methods of analysis, trends

Summary
Fighting poverty and social exclusion is among the biggest issues of modern social development and a priority of the social policy at both national and European level. The main goal of this paper is to explore the statistical dimensions of poverty in Bulgaria via theoretical justification and empirical analysis of the level, dynamics and determining factors of poverty for the period 2008–2017. The research thesis of the study is that the Gini coefficient and the multiple binary logistic regression models are appropriate analytical tools for analyzing the relationships and identifying the part of the population that is at risk of poverty and social exclusion.

In this paper, we present the conceptual basis of poverty as a subject of the statistical analysis. We clarify the organizational and methodological aspects of the data provision. We have performed empirical analysis of the dynamics and factor relationships of poverty in Bulgaria on the basis of the statistical information, obtained from NSI and Eurostat. We have developed multiple regression models and estimated the socio-demographic conditions of poverty. The main results of the study can be summarized in several areas. The application of the statistical approach is a necessity for identifying the level and the factor relationships of poverty. The quantitative measure of poverty is based on comprehensive statistical information that is collected in accordance with the Eurostat methodology and adapted at a national level by the NSI. The dynamics of the Gini coefficient reveals that income inequality of the population is rising. The multiple logistic regression model states that the impact of the variables “gender”, “age” and “region” are statistically significant. The derived probabilities and odds ratios can be used in developing policies for poverty reduction.

JEL: C10, C50, I32
Pages: 31
Price: 1 Points

More titles

  • LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS THE ACHIEVEMENT OF THE OBJECTIVES FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PURPOSES

    Sustainable development and production, economic growth, employment, infrastructure, sustainable management of natural resources, climate changes, etc., are all issues that require solutions and actions which can be achieved under the management of responsible young leaders. The objective of the project is to examine the possibilities for ...

  • STUDYING THE COUNTERPARTY RISK IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES (ALONG THE LINES OF THE BREWING INDUSTRY)

    The purpose of the present study is to investigate the manifestation of counterparty risk in the operation of Bulgarian breweries and to highlight specific business solutions and practices for its effective management. In this regard, the following tasks are formulated and implemented: studying and summarizing the theoretical formulations of ...

  • BENEFITS FOR TOURISM ENTERPRISES FROM THEIR ISO 9001 CERTIFICATION

    Globalization and free movement of goods and services put new opportunities for Bulgarian businesses to achieve a competitive advantage based on quality. The study of this problem in the economic practice is especially relevant, considering the predominance of the service sector in the national economy and the complexity of maintaining a ...