"Scientific research" Almanac

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  FIGHTING POVERTY – THE CHALLENGE FACING THE TEACHING OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT

  The implementation of a comprehensive and integrated approach is a prerequisite for overcoming social exclusion and for breaking the passing on of poverty from generation to generation. Higher education in economics and management takes an important place in the fight against poverty by providing the necessary knowledge, skills and ... The implementation of a comprehensive and integrated approach is a prerequisite for overcoming social exclusion and for breaking the passing on of poverty from generation to generation. Higher education in economics and management takes an important place in the fight against poverty by providing the necessary knowledge, skills and competencies. Thesis statement: „The improvement of the traditional methods and the introduction of new active methods and modes of study in economics and management provide students with knowledge and skills, which are the prerequisites for getting out of poverty.” Aim: Studying the existing modes of study and opening up opportunities for improvement through the introduction of new elements in teaching economics and management to create knowledge and skills for fighting poverty. Tasks: Studying the characteristics of poverty in Bulgaria; Analyzing the content of economics and management courses and creating new opportunities to include issues related to the fight against poverty; Developing methodological materials containing active forms of teaching and acquiring knowledge and skills. The national policies that can contribute to poverty reduction have to be the basis for developing the components of the course content. The incorporation of these policies in the course content would attract the interest not only of students but of all stakeholders to the educational product of the D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics.

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  PROBLEMS AND PERSPECTIVES OF THE AGRIBUSINESS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN BULGARIA

  The present study is based on the thesis statement that it is possible and necessary to develop successful business which takes care of preserving the environment in Bulgaria. With reference to this the objective of the present research is to study the problems of sustainable development in the country and in particular the prospects of doing ... The present study is based on the thesis statement that it is possible and necessary to develop successful business which takes care of preserving the environment in Bulgaria. With reference to this the objective of the present research is to study the problems of sustainable development in the country and in particular the prospects of doing sustainable business in the rural regions of Bulgaria. Three sub goals further expand the main objective of the study, namely: to analyze the problems of sustainable use of natural resources; to outline the main trends in the preservation of the environment and biodiversity; and to specify the models and forms of sustainable business development in the country. The specific tasks that the study completes are related to revealing the economic and social advantages of sustainable development, identifying the problems of sustainable use of natural resources in Bulgaria and coordinating the mutual efforts of business agents in the rural regions for achieving sustainable development. The results of the research are as follows: outlining approaches to sustainable use of natural resources within their capacity as a prerequisite of any long-term development by coordinating the political, economic and social systems; suggesting models for sustainable resource use on the basis of organic farming; highlighting the advantages of sustainable agriculture as an opportunity for reducing unemployment, migration processes and local economy development in the endangered regions of Bulgaria.

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  USING PROBABILITY MODELS FOR FAST-MOVING CONSUMER GOODS SALES FORECASTING BASED ON TRANSACTIONAL DATA

  The interest in modelling the structure of consumer preferences and consumer choice behaviour in order to predict future purchase decisions has a long and rich tradition in marketing. Finding a practical solution to this problem is becoming increasingly critical with the increased availability of customer transactional individual-level databases. ... The interest in modelling the structure of consumer preferences and consumer choice behaviour in order to predict future purchase decisions has a long and rich tradition in marketing. Finding a practical solution to this problem is becoming increasingly critical with the increased availability of customer transactional individual-level databases. The focus of this paper is on the application of specific class of probability models that are well-suited to meet the rising challenges a marketing manager faces. Our objective is to define, estimate and a priori validate a predictive probability model by aggregating the individual-level purchase history (i.e. purchase frequency and recency). We demonstrate the relatively high performance of NDB and BG/NDB models using transactional data of a cohort of new customers. This supports our thesis statement that probability models are very suitable for identifying and forecasting purchasing behaviour. The availability of precise individual-level predictions concerns any serious attempt to derive customer lifetime value on a systematic basis.