• Icon to change language to english
  • Icon to change language to english

RISK ASSESSMENT TOOLS FOR INVESTMENT SELECTION – THEORY AND PRACTICE

Authors

Keywords
CAPM, beta, SOFIX

Summary
The paper reviews risk assessment for selection of investments in terms of em-pirical derivation and estimation of beta coefficients on the capital market in Bulgaria. It aims to develop some theoretical aspects regarding risk assessment for investment se-lection as well as to provide empirical derivation and trend analysis of the beta coeffi-cient values of leading Bulgarian public companies included in the SOFIX index. The paper is structured in four main parts according to its subject matter, goal and objec-tives. The first part reviews the current objectives and the theoretical grounds of in-vestment management. The second part focuses on the possibilities to include risk into the investment analysis. The third part analyzes the methodological framework for in-vestment selection. The fourth part presents an empirical study of the beta coefficients of the SOFIX companies for the period 2007-2012, identifies trends and proposes cor-porate grouping according to their capacity to restore market capitalization to the pre-crisis levels. The results show that two of the leading Bulgarian companies (i.e. 13.3% of the total number of companies in the index) have betas exceeding 1.25 (based on monthly data for the period Sept. 2007 - Sept. 2012), seven companies (46.7% of the index) have beta coefficients between 0.75 and 1.25 and six companies (40% of the index) have conservative betas of less than 0.75.

JEL: C32, G11, G12
Pages: 18
Price: 3 Points

More titles

  • OFFSHORE ZONES – PLACES FOR IMPLEMENTING CRIMINAL INITIATIVES OR ECONOMICALLY JUSTIFIED INVESTMENTS

    An intensive dispute about the role of the offshore zones in modern global economy is taking place among researchers, politicians and financial specialists. What are the reasons for investors to transfer their savings to such offshore zones – are they motivated by economic reasons or are they just realizing their criminal intentions using the ...

  • ESTABLISHMENT OF THE BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK AS A CENTRAL BANK

    The establishment of the central bank and banking system in our country began in the late XIX century, after the liberation from Ottoman rule. In its 120-year-old history Bulgarian banking has experienced many ups and downs to reach its current state. This study will focus on the establishment and recognition of the Bulgarian National Bank as a ...

  • CAPITAL MARKETS IN EUROPE – INTEGRATION AS AN ANTI-CRISIS MEASURE

    The leading thesis in this paper is the concept that the development of a unified institutionalized European capital market is a necessity and a mandatory condition for the successful implementation of the EU economic policy, which, however, has not been recognized as a priority by the governing institutions of the Economic Union. Using empirical ...