"Scientific research" Almanac

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  MACROECONOMIC STATE OF BULGARIA AND PROSPECTS FOR DEVELOPMENT OF BULGARIAN ECONOMY

  Bulgaria has managed to reduce the deficit as required according to the excessive deficit procedure and is carrying out a substantial reform aimed at raising the statutory retirement age for both men and women. Despite the progress made by the Government in fulfilling its reform programme, the main challenges facing the country’s policy have ... Bulgaria has managed to reduce the deficit as required according to the excessive deficit procedure and is carrying out a substantial reform aimed at raising the statutory retirement age for both men and women. Despite the progress made by the Government in fulfilling its reform programme, the main challenges facing the country’s policy have remained largely unchanged. Due to the constant increase in unemployment there should be more active reorientation of the active employment policy in order to improve employability. The low educational achievement shows that the provision of quality education faces significant structural barriers. Sustainability and adequacy of the pension system are still not fully guaranteed. The quality of public expenditure, the tax system efficiency and the business environment are suboptimal. Bulgaria is largely dependent on imported energy and its energy market is not fully operational.

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  STRESS TESTING ISSUES IN THE MODERN BANKS WORK

  The present article provides critical analysis of the existing practice for carrying out of stress-test in the banking sector in our country and abroad. It provides good grounds for accentuating on a number of unsolved or discussion issues, concerning: significance of the stress-tests; scope and periodicity of their implementation; identification ... The present article provides critical analysis of the existing practice for carrying out of stress-test in the banking sector in our country and abroad. It provides good grounds for accentuating on a number of unsolved or discussion issues, concerning: significance of the stress-tests; scope and periodicity of their implementation; identification of the specific risks, with potential negative effects; scenario modelling with specifying key risk parameters (factors), subject of shocking changes; performance of comparative analysis of the methods for implementing stress-tests and outlining of their advantages and disadvantages; specifics of implementation of the so-called „reverse” stress-tests, etc.

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  REAL OPTIONS – THE NEW PARADIGM IN INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING

  Financial theory has long tried to impose discounted cash flows techniques as a revolutionary approach in evaluating investment alternatives, offering a more accurate and complete idea of the potential in creating a value replacing the „Payback period” that has long been used in capital budgeting. Discounting of cash flows had been the main and ... Financial theory has long tried to impose discounted cash flows techniques as a revolutionary approach in evaluating investment alternatives, offering a more accurate and complete idea of the potential in creating a value replacing the „Payback period” that has long been used in capital budgeting. Discounting of cash flows had been the main and indisputable paradigm in making investment decisions prior to the emergence of a real options analysis (ROA) - an application of the theory of financial options in capital budgeting. Real options enhance valuation by embedding flexibility in capital budgeting procedures – the ability of firms to react adequately to favorable or adverse changes in the economic environment, competition or markets. Real options analysis is the perfect approach in evaluating long-term investments and it will not be long before it replaces completely the traditional tools in capital budgeting.